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Calgary’s Rapid Growth: When Grocery Demand Outpaces Supply

Written by Virginie Belhumeur | Apr 15, 2025 4:03:49 PM

As Calgary experiences remarkable demographic expansion, questions are arising about whether the city’s grocery footprint can keep up with residents’ needs. According to a recent Retail Insider article, the grocery market has not expanded at the same pace as Calgary’s population growth. In practical terms, consumers may encounter limited choices or overcrowded stores, ultimately diminishing the overall shopping experience.


A Changing Urban Landscape

Calgary is well-known for its vibrant downtown core, historic commercial districts, and numerous development projects aimed at enhancing neighborhood appeal. However, this sustained growth brings its own logistical hurdles. Specifically, when it comes to grocery stores, the key question is: how can retailers meet rising demand while accounting for local realities and shifting consumer preferences?

  • Shortage of Suitable Spaces
    In densely populated urban areas, it can be challenging to find sites or properties large enough to accommodate new grocery stores.
  • Evolving Buying Habits
    Many consumers are seeking greater flexibility—such as delivery services or online ordering—and also favor locally sourced products, particularly in light of ongoing trade tensions with the United States.
  • Socioeconomic Shifts
    Families, young professionals, and active retirees all have distinct needs and lifestyles, adding more complexity to today’s retail landscape.

The Strategic Role of Location Intelligence

In addressing these challenges, location intelligence emerges as a critical lever to balance grocery offerings with actual demand. Whether expanding an existing store or selecting a site for a new one, data can enable the following:

  • Pinpoint Underserved Areas
    By examining population density, purchasing power, and mobility patterns, urban planners and retailers can more easily identify neighborhoods that lack convenient access to grocery services.
  • Understand Consumer Profiles
    Different parts of the city cater to different demographics: families with young children, those seeking organic or specialty foods, and seniors focused on accessibility. A deep dive into these consumer segments helps in tailoring product assortments and services—like delivery, bike parking, or quick pick-up areas—to local expectations.
  • Maximize Profitability and Commercial Impact
    Increasing grocery options can boost foot traffic, economic prospects, and ancillary commercial activities in surrounding areas. Downtown associations, economic development entities, and retail consultants can benefit from these insights to build thriving and sustainable business ecosystems.

Real-World Scenario (Fictional Example): Addressing an Expanding Neighborhood
Imagine a Calgary suburb that has grown by 20% over five years. Despite this population surge, the area has very few grocery options, forcing residents to travel several kilometers for basic shopping.

  • Hypothetical Assessment
    Location intelligence reveals that most residents are young families who prioritize fresh, reasonably priced products.
  • Potential Solutions
    Developers and retail strategists could identify a central site near public transit with ample parking for cars, bikes, and strollers.
  • Projected Outcomes
    Improved accessibility, higher customer satisfaction, and fewer unnecessary trips to distant locations.

While hypothetical, this example mirrors real-world patterns and demonstrates how location intelligence can help meet increased demand more effectively.

Conclusion: Planning Ahead for Balanced Growth

In a rapidly expanding city like Calgary, striking the right balance between grocery supply and growing demand is a key economic challenge. Location intelligence is a vital tool for identifying focal areas, understanding genuine consumer needs, and crafting sustainable strategies.

At Propulso, we support organizations in navigating these dynamics and making data-driven decisions.
Contact us to discover how our data analytics solutions can help you overcome the challenges of an ever-evolving market.